Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 15.344420 17.419936 19.622902 22.129982 24.898609 27.857137 31.252128
2024-12-29 12.434447 15.297435 18.536225 22.450580 27.031124 32.198858 38.446195
2025-01-05 10.023083 13.294901 17.220750 22.230290 28.400106 35.695260 44.912990
2025-01-12 7.847778 11.208338 15.477583 21.213349 28.621568 37.763991 49.782853
2025-01-19 6.192073 9.503917 13.948602 20.216925 28.676470 39.529903 54.312815
2025-01-26 5.503114 8.984196 13.878196 21.064257 31.116823 44.423937 63.066721
2025-02-02 5.227879 9.001836 14.522344 22.907977 34.993074 51.406031 74.931123
2025-02-09 4.772478 8.672489 14.608575 23.932480 37.765427 57.022203 85.232265
2025-02-16 4.179679 8.033612 14.144776 24.075961 39.245342 60.887213 93.279552
2025-02-23 3.560535 7.253859 13.361782 23.635412 39.791237 63.406462 99.504114
2025-03-02 3.070851 6.619967 12.731119 23.350686 40.511140 66.164409 106.142084
2025-03-09 2.718022 6.177991 12.362785 23.435609 41.774385 69.746391 114.092879
2025-03-16 2.346877 5.654792 11.813861 23.199928 42.557651 72.716688 121.397544
2025-03-23 2.204022 5.565268 12.029783 24.285219 45.549204 79.224130 134.333262
2025-03-30 1.967646 5.242345 11.776277 24.518049 47.131202 83.593964 144.172044
2025-04-06 1.645005 4.672602 10.981210 23.694618 46.852334 84.969407 149.388127
2025-04-13 1.361764 4.135193 10.177950 22.768515 46.308936 85.856349 153.829687
2025-04-20 1.292262 4.100652 10.400127 23.810427 49.304345 92.691555 168.060806
2025-04-27 1.315424 4.304106 11.144179 25.921398 54.334605 103.116641 188.467966
2025-05-04 1.258876 4.289994 11.413308 27.101566 57.714607 110.873951 204.748618
2025-05-11 1.134440 4.070046 11.201729 27.288472 59.254959 115.542939 216.071395
2025-05-18 0.981550 3.737999 10.694173 26.816171 59.514027 117.992016 223.750276
2025-05-25 0.858031 3.463718 10.285439 26.510042 60.057931 120.938702 232.340674